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Nate Silver: The Signal and the Noise
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Stand: Brugt - men i god stand
Forlag: Penguin Press - Sprog: Engelsk - Udgivet år: 2013 - Antal bind: 1 - Antal sider: 534 - Indbinding: Paperback - Tilstand: Som ny - ISBN: 978-0-141-97565-8
Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we often fail to foresee hugely significant events. Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all build a better crystal ball. In his quest to distinguish the true signal from a universe of noisy data, Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters, in fields ranging from the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to terrorism. What lies behind their success? And why do so many predictions still fail? By analysing the rare prescient forecasts, and applying a more quantitative lens to everyday life, Silver distils the essential lessons of prediction
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Sidst redigeret: 2.8.2026 kl. 09:15 ・ Annonce-ID: 23578441
